Candidates Without A Chance

Grind for August 31st
“Good questions outrank easy answers.” – Paul Samuelson

Close But No Cigar

The Headline

More than 50% of Democratic candidates fail to meet debate qualifications

The Grind

To make it into the next primary debate, Democratic candidates must collect 130,000 donations and reach 2% support in four qualifying polls.

These conditions must be met by 11:59 pm on August 28th.

So far, only these 10 candidates have made the cut: Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Julián Castro, Kamala Harris, Amy Klobuchar, Beto O’Rourke, and Andrew Yang.

That leaves out more than half of the candidates – including Tom Steyer, who has already spent more than $12 million on his campaign. Steyer was confident that he would make the cut earlier this month, having amassed 130,000 donors in just five weeks. But he only managed to hit 2% in three qualifying polls.

The Details

To appear in the first two debates, candidates had to reach 1% in four polls and accrue 65,000 donations from 20 states.

As the primary field hit 20 and continued to grow, the DNC imposed tighter qualifications for the third debate. The same rules will apply to the fourth debate, giving struggling candidates another chance to appear on stage.

“We’ve said this all along, that in the fall we’re going to raise the threshold because that’s what we always do,” said DNC Chairman Tom Perez. “You can’t win the presidency in the modern era if you can’t build relationships with the grass roots.”

The third primary debate will take place September 12th in Houston, TX.


The Headline

Joe Walsh is running for president (and nobody cares)

The Grind

Talk show host and former US Rep. Joe Walsh (R-IL) announced his presidential bid on Sunday.

On Monday, Salem Radio Network cancelled his show.

“I figured this might happen,” said Walsh, noting that up to 90% of his listeners are Trump supporters.

A more likely possibility is that Salem was complying with campaign laws, which forbid presidential candidates from having their own radio shows.

The Details

When asked about Walsh’s 2020 run, the Trump campaign responded with a single word: “Whatever.”

As noted by ABC News, “The president’s hold on the Republican Party is as strong as it has even been…there’s really no indication that he has any vulnerability whatsoever to a primary challenge.”

The latest Reuters poll shows Trump’s approval rating among registered GOP voters at 87%.

I agree that Walsh is unlikely to get any support, especially considering his racist comments that make even Trump look PC.

Walsh has accused blacks of burning down their own neighborhoods and has claimed that “millions of white people died so blacks could be free.” He was suspended from radio in 2014 for using racist slurs. He believes the Democratic Party has turned blacks into “uneducated government slaves” and says he has the “right” to say that “blacks are lazy and the Irish are drunks.”

Here’s what Walsh said in 2016 when Trump was attacked for describing Haiti as a “shit hole”:
“To say that it’s ‘racist’ to call Haiti a shit hole is like saying it’s ‘racist’ to say Chicago has a violence problem. Haiti is a shit hole and its run by blacks. The violence in Chicago is all black on black. Those aren’t racist statements.”

When asked about his racist comments by MSNBC this week, Walsh replied, “I wouldn’t call myself a racist, but I’ve said racist things on Twitter.”

Despite his own remarks, Walsh has described Trump as: “A sexual predator, a serial liar, a malignant narcissist, an obstructer of justice, a psychopath, a betrayer of this nation’s interests, a bigot, an incompetent boob, [and] a failed businessman.”

So far, Walsh and Massachusetts Governor Bill Weld are the only two Republicans to challenge Trump in the 2020 election.

Did you know… The highest point in Pennsylvania is lower than the lowest point in Colorado!