Merkel Claims Coronavirus Biggest Challenge to Germany Since World War II

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Challenges

The Headline

Merkel Claims Coronavirus Biggest Challenge to Germany Since World War II

The Grind

In a historic first unscheduled national broadcast, German Chancellor Angela Merkel addressed the public saying the coronavirus outbreak is the most serious situation the country has faced since the Second World War.

The German chancellor addressed the people on Wednesday evening stating: “The situation is serious. Take it seriously. Since German unification, no, since the Second World War, there has been no challenge to our nation that has demanded such a degree of common and united action.”


The Details

Merkel went on to call for unity among the German people and appealed to a sense of duty in the coming days and weeks ahead to help stop the spread of the virus, Deutsche Welle reports.

“I am addressing you today in this unusual manner, because I want to tell you what is guiding me as chancellor and all of my colleagues in the government at this time. That is part of an open democracy – that we explain our political decisions and make them transparent,” she said.

“It’s down to each and every one of us. We are not doomed to helplessly watch the spread of the virus. We have a means to fight it: we must practice social distancing out of consideration for one another,” the chancellor added and went on to compliment medical staff and those working at supermarkets. Read more…

 

 

 

 

 

Panic

The Headline

Experts Say We May Be Overreacting to the Coronavirus Pandemic

The coronavirus pandemic is a situation to be taken seriously, but is it possible that panic we’re seeing unfold right now is not necessary? Some experts say it is.

Richard A. Epstein, a Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution offered some perspective on the pandemic, suggesting that while everyone seems to react to bad news from Italy, some good news is being overlooked. “Overlooked is the good news coming out of China, where the latest report shows 16 new cases and 14 new deaths, suggesting that the number of deaths in the currently unresolved group will be lower than the 5.3 percent conversion rate in the cases resolved to date. In my view, we will see a similar decline in Italy,” he says.

 

The Details

From this available data, it seems more probable than not that the total number of cases world-wide will peak out at well under 1 million, with the total number of deaths at under 50,000 (up about eightfold). In the United States, if the total death toll increases at about the same rate, the current 67 deaths should translate into about 500 deaths at the end.

Of course, every life lost is a tragedy – and the potential loss of 50,000 lives world-wide would be appalling – but those deaths stemming from the coronavirus are not more tragic than others, so that the same social calculus applies here that should apply in other cases.

Epstein argues that based on the available data, he believes that “the current dire models radically overestimate the ultimate death toll.” He gives three reasons for this. Read more…

 

 

 

 

 

 


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